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Red355
3476206.2
3880140.5
1002150.2
Blue304
6106133.1
6348116.8
5985189.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4002740100200500600700355304

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
206.20.7
201.2201.9
Auto24.8
Teleop143.3
End37.2
red by 16.8
5985
#34
189.40.7
191.5190.8
Auto25.3
Teleop146.3
End15.8
Second
1002
#20
150.21.2
146.4147.6
Auto20.5
Teleop115.3
End12.6
red by 17.1
6106
#48
133.10.4
132.8132.4
Auto16.0
Teleop101.6
End14.5
Third
3880
#47
140.50.7
139.2139.9
Auto15.4
Teleop107.2
End16.5
red by 23.7
6348
#40
116.81.0
119.7118.7
Auto15.9
Teleop89.5
End12.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
70%Auto Quest oddsEarned61%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
23%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed