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Red350
1072150.7
3316182.6
1730178.8
Blue329
4401135.9
7152115.9
1323230.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions345344250300400450350329

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3316
#19
182.60.5
181.0181.5
Auto24.1
Teleop132.8
End28.6
blue by 47.5
230.10.2
228.1228.2
Auto27.5
Teleop164.0
End36.7
Second
1730
#23
178.80.9
180.8179.9
Auto25.3
Teleop137.1
End14.8
red by 42.8
4401
#44
135.90.1
134.4134.5
Auto16.4
Teleop102.4
End18.9
Third
1072
#54
150.71.7
155.7154.0
Auto20.9
Teleop117.8
End10.4
red by 34.9
7152
#45
115.91.8
108.9110.7
Auto14.0
Teleop87.7
End15.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsMissed58%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed31%Face the Boss oddsMissed