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Red230
4401135.9
7081122.4
7193115.3
Blue536
2352172.9
179207.5
3250196.2
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1875000100300400600700800230536

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4401
#44
135.90.1
134.5134.6
Auto16.4
Teleop102.4
End18.9
blue by 71.6
179
#3
207.50.7
207.1207.8
Auto21.3
Teleop144.3
End40.3
Second
7081
#57
122.40.5
120.8121.2
Auto15.8
Teleop89.7
End17.6
blue by 73.8
196.20.6
194.2194.8
Auto28.1
Teleop138.3
End29.0
Third
7193
#60
115.31.5
118.2116.6
Auto17.0
Teleop83.0
End12.4
blue by 57.6
2352
#49
172.91.4
176.7175.3
Auto21.3
Teleop133.1
End17.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsEarned94%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed40%Face the Boss oddsEarned