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Red382
972122.4
5985189.4
3646193.6
Blue327
6072147.2
7152115.9
1983170.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3952550100200300500600700382327

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3646
#10
193.60.8
193.6192.8
Auto23.4
Teleop147.6
End21.7
red by 22.7
1983
#25
170.90.2
169.0168.8
Auto20.3
Teleop133.5
End19.0
Second
5985
#34
189.40.4
190.8190.4
Auto25.3
Teleop146.3
End15.8
red by 42.2
6072
#12
147.20.5
144.3144.9
Auto18.9
Teleop115.8
End11.8
Third
972
#31
122.40.8
119.2120.1
Auto16.5
Teleop96.0
End9.2
red by 6.5
7152
#45
115.91.5
110.7112.2
Auto14.0
Teleop87.7
End15.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsEarned70%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsEarned