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Red476
4522188.0
3646193.6
7193115.3
Blue252
1002150.2
1763146.7
1778148.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3952800100200500600700476252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3646
#10
193.60.3
192.8192.5
Auto23.4
Teleop147.6
End21.7
red by 43.4
1002
#20
150.21.3
148.3149.5
Auto20.5
Teleop115.3
End12.6
Second
188.01.1
183.8185.0
Auto24.0
Teleop129.4
End36.9
red by 39.7
1778
#42
148.30.2
148.6148.5
Auto18.1
Teleop119.2
End9.9
Third
7193
#60
115.31.0
116.6115.7
Auto17.0
Teleop83.0
End12.4
blue by 31.4
1763
#65
146.70.3
146.3146.6
Auto18.6
Teleop111.0
End18.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
90%Auto Quest oddsEarned81%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
14%Face the Boss oddsMissed1%Face the Boss oddsMissed