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Red517
3476206.2
5429150.9
7327119.3
Blue282
5212129.0
7081122.4
2352172.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3803050100200500600700517282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
206.21.0
202.2203.1
Auto24.8
Teleop143.3
End37.2
red by 33.2
2352
#49
172.91.3
175.3174.1
Auto21.3
Teleop133.1
End17.5
Second
5429
#24
150.90.3
149.6149.9
Auto17.3
Teleop112.8
End20.4
red by 21.9
5212
#32
129.00.8
127.5128.4
Auto17.0
Teleop92.5
End21.5
Third
7327
#63
119.30.8
119.9119.1
Auto15.5
Teleop90.0
End14.9
blue by 3.1
7081
#57
122.40.7
121.2121.9
Auto15.8
Teleop89.7
End17.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
64%Auto Quest oddsEarned64%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
22%Face the Boss oddsEarned8%Face the Boss oddsMissed