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Red436
4587193.8
4978114.9
3337131.2
Blue108
7331136.8
4087161.1
9997117.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3543030100200400500600700436108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
193.80.0
193.8193.8
Auto20.2
Teleop145.4
End24.2
red by 32.7
4087
#12
161.10.0
161.1161.1
Auto20.4
Teleop120.7
End20.3
Second
131.20.0
131.2131.2
Auto17.2
Teleop98.2
End18.6
blue by 5.6
7331
#32
136.80.0
136.8136.8
Auto15.7
Teleop104.3
End19.6
Third
4978
#17
114.90.0
114.9114.9
Auto15.6
Teleop85.7
End13.1
blue by 2.6
9997
#26
117.50.0
117.5117.5
Auto12.9
Teleop88.5
End18.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
60%Auto Quest odds64%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss odds5%Face the Boss odds