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Red279
2992177.7
3847156.9
999090.5
Blue124
5863105.3
3616162.7
999260.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3142660100200400500600279124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177.70.0
177.7177.7
Auto18.5
Teleop134.5
End25.7
red by 14.9
3616
#14
162.70.0
162.7162.7
Auto17.7
Teleop130.5
End14.4
Second
3847
#20
156.90.0
156.9156.9
Auto22.4
Teleop116.6
End17.8
red by 51.6
5863
#19
105.30.0
105.3105.3
Auto14.5
Teleop81.7
End9.2
Third
9990
#23
90.50.0
90.590.5
Auto13.1
Teleop74.3
End3.8
red by 30.4
9992
#16
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
51%Auto Quest odds44%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss odds3%Face the Boss odds