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Quarterfinal 3-12018 Palmetto Regional
Red437
3641170.5
3824173.4
4823100.3
Blue159
3489144.5
1553130.2
1287134.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions382283100200500600437159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3824
#3
173.41.6
167.6→169.2
Auto24.8
Teleop131.0
End20.0
red by 28.9
3489
#33
144.50.2
144.2→144.4
Auto20.8
Teleop99.7
End27.8
Second
3641
#8
170.51.0
166.9→167.9
Auto25.1
Teleop125.0
End21.9
red by 36.3
1287
#38
134.11.4
131.6→133.0
Auto14.6
Teleop102.2
End22.2
Third
4823
#52
100.30.2
99.6→99.8
Auto13.8
Teleop75.9
End12.3
blue by 29.8
1553
#11
130.20.2
130.0→130.2
Auto17.6
Teleop97.1
End15.8