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Quarterfinal 3-22018 Palmetto Regional
Red397
3641170.5
3824173.4
4823100.3
Blue265
3489144.5
1553130.2
1287134.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions388273100200300500600397265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3824
#3
173.41.5
169.2→170.7
Auto24.8
Teleop131.0
End20.0
red by 28.9
3489
#33
144.50.0
144.4→144.5
Auto20.8
Teleop99.7
End27.8
Second
3641
#8
170.51.0
167.9→168.8
Auto25.1
Teleop125.0
End21.9
red by 36.3
1287
#38
134.11.1
133.0→134.1
Auto14.6
Teleop102.2
End22.2
Third
4823
#52
100.30.2
99.8→100.0
Auto13.8
Teleop75.9
End12.3
blue by 29.8
1553
#11
130.20.0
130.2→130.2
Auto17.6
Teleop97.1
End15.8