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Red321
5130100.0
1319118.7
4073122.6
Blue20
484799.1
6167115.6
4748110.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304216010040050060070032120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4073
#48
122.614.1
87.8101.9
Auto15.7
Teleop94.0
End15.2
red by 7.1
6167
#56
115.67.8
84.091.8
Auto16.5
Teleop84.6
End16.8
Second
1319
#29
118.78.3
106.3114.6
Auto14.5
Teleop98.7
End4.6
red by 8.3
4748
#53DQ
110.410.5
79.890.3
Auto13.9
Teleop89.1
End9.8
Third
5130
#44
100.010.5
76.486.8
Auto13.5
Teleop81.2
End6.8
red by 0.9
4847
#58
99.110.7
73.183.8
Auto11.7
Teleop81.1
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed