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Qual 152018 Palmetto Regional
Red153
4451167.4
3651102.8
281126.3
Blue371
1553130.2
4265129.5
3489144.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions281284200250300350153371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4451
#2
167.48.7
121.0→129.7
Auto25.1
Teleop118.2
End23.4
red by 23.0
3489
#33
144.56.4
104.6→111.0
Auto20.8
Teleop99.7
End27.8
Second
281
#19
126.37.4
101.5→108.9
Auto17.3
Teleop88.4
End24.0
blue by 3.9
1553
#11
130.28.5
88.5→97.0
Auto17.6
Teleop97.1
End15.8
Third
3651
#40
102.811.3
72.7→84.0
Auto14.3
Teleop78.1
End11.6
blue by 26.7
4265
#45
129.57.3
109.0→116.4
Auto15.6
Teleop104.2
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsEarned25%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed