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Qual 142018 Palmetto Regional
Red89
2187103.0
4243110.9
4075123.0
Blue339
3824173.4
125144.2
7085110.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions251300010020040050089339

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4075
#36
123.012.1
87.1→99.2
Auto15.9
Teleop90.1
End21.7
blue by 50.4
3824
#3
173.45.7
129.0→134.7
Auto24.8
Teleop131.0
End20.0
Second
4243
#34
110.912.7
85.8→98.5
Auto12.3
Teleop90.0
End7.6
blue by 33.3
125
#4
144.21.2
121.9→123.1
Auto21.5
Teleop108.4
End18.0
Third
2187
#54
103.011.8
76.7→88.5
Auto14.6
Teleop82.2
End7.0
blue by 7.7
7085
#37
110.612.8
77.7→90.5
Auto14.9
Teleop82.2
End13.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed