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Red53
622294.3
506399.7
450494.8
Blue435
4481141.3
5327109.5
2614168.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions235303010020040050060070053435

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5063
#61
99.77.5
87.494.9
Auto12.6
Teleop76.6
End8.3
blue by 69.0
168.77.4
116.7124.2
Auto24.1
Teleop120.1
End23.9
Second
4504
#62
94.87.9
95.7103.6
Auto14.7
Teleop74.6
End7.7
blue by 46.6
4481
#24
141.38.0
106.0114.0
Auto18.2
Teleop107.5
End14.9
Third
6222
#64
94.39.7
81.190.8
Auto14.9
Teleop70.7
End4.7
blue by 15.2
5327
#32
109.58.6
79.287.8
Auto13.6
Teleop92.4
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed34%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed