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Qual 122018 Palmetto Regional
Red157
2393125.3
2815123.4
4083112.3
Blue400
139898.7
4020142.7
5472163.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2632890100200400500600700800157400

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2393
#51
125.39.6
108.7→118.3
Auto17.0
Teleop94.9
End14.6
blue by 38.3
5472
#7
163.712.0
98.1→110.2
Auto21.9
Teleop122.8
End17.3
Second
2815
#59
123.49.4
95.7→105.0
Auto14.5
Teleop92.6
End17.1
blue by 19.4
4020
#10
142.77.5
107.4→114.9
Auto18.3
Teleop108.1
End18.5
Third
4083
#47
112.312.9
72.6→85.4
Auto15.3
Teleop83.9
End16.8
red by 13.6
1398
#46
98.711.9
74.7→86.6
Auto15.4
Teleop78.7
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed