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Qual 112018 Palmetto Regional
Red173
4823100.3
1287134.1
669396.9
Blue341
5410119.6
1319118.7
4267122.7
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2133180100400500600700173341

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1287
#38
134.115.2
81.4→96.6
Auto14.6
Teleop102.2
End22.2
red by 11.4
4267
#35
122.710.7
79.4→90.1
Auto15.9
Teleop92.9
End15.4
Second
4823
#52
100.318.3
54.0→72.3
Auto13.8
Teleop75.9
End12.3
blue by 19.3
5410
#49
119.614.7
86.3→101.0
Auto17.1
Teleop89.7
End16.4
Third
6693
#50
96.910.6
58.4→69.0
Auto13.2
Teleop75.4
End10.4
blue by 21.8
1319
#29
118.714.1
92.2→106.3
Auto14.5
Teleop98.7
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed