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Qual 102018 Palmetto Regional
Red145
6961106.8
3651102.8
4965128.7
Blue182
4748110.4
283128.7
7097109.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2612790100200400500600700145182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4965
#20
128.715.1
82.9→97.9
Auto16.7
Teleop96.7
End15.4
Level
283
#30
128.714.5
88.0→102.5
Auto16.8
Teleop94.0
End24.5
Second
6961
#39
106.829.1
106.8→77.7
Auto13.4
Teleop82.0
End13.3
blue by 3.6
4748
#53
110.417.4
62.5→79.8
Auto13.9
Teleop89.1
End9.8
Third
3651
#40
102.818.3
54.4→72.7
Auto14.3
Teleop78.1
End11.6
blue by 6.8
7097
#31
109.631.9
109.6→77.7
Auto13.3
Teleop87.7
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed