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Qual 92018 Palmetto Regional
Red330
7085110.6
5317141.1
3641170.5
Blue179
577797.7
397696.7
3824173.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions286283100200400500330179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3641
#8
170.512.4
107.9→120.3
Auto25.1
Teleop125.0
End21.9
blue by 2.9
3824
#3
173.411.4
117.6→129.0
Auto24.8
Teleop131.0
End20.0
Second
5317
#26
141.116.6
69.3→85.9
Auto16.2
Teleop110.0
End18.2
red by 43.3
5777
#60
97.718.0
57.2→75.1
Auto14.9
Teleop80.8
End6.5
Third
7085
#37
110.632.9
110.6→77.7
Auto14.9
Teleop82.2
End13.8
red by 13.9
3976
#63
96.717.7
59.8→77.4
Auto15.7
Teleop77.4
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed