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Qual 192018 Palmetto Regional
Red160
397696.7
4823100.3
2383153.2
Blue280
1539119.4
3410112.4
6961106.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27824904006008001,0001,200160280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2383
#14
153.210.8
110.8→121.5
Auto21.6
Teleop114.6
End17.5
red by 33.8
1539
#13
119.412.0
87.8→99.8
Auto15.1
Teleop89.2
End14.9
Second
4823
#52
100.310.5
72.3→82.8
Auto13.8
Teleop75.9
End12.3
blue by 12.1
3410
#43
112.48.0
81.6→89.6
Auto15.2
Teleop88.9
End10.8
Third
3976
#63
96.79.8
77.4→87.3
Auto15.7
Teleop77.4
End2.9
blue by 10.1
6961
#39
106.810.9
77.7→88.6
Auto13.4
Teleop82.0
End13.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed21%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed