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Qual 202018 Palmetto Regional
Red359
1051140.2
1287134.1
4582130.6
Blue84
283128.7
662699.6
5022114.1
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26226410015020030035040045035984

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1051
#6
140.29.8
83.8→93.6
Auto15.5
Teleop100.3
End26.3
red by 11.5
283
#30
128.78.6
102.5→111.1
Auto16.8
Teleop94.0
End24.5
Second
1287
#38
134.18.4
96.6→105.0
Auto14.6
Teleop102.2
End22.2
red by 20.0
5022
#28
114.17.8
89.5→97.3
Auto14.9
Teleop86.6
End11.3
Third
4582
#15
130.613.6
75.4→89.0
Auto17.2
Teleop103.1
End8.9
red by 31.0
6626
#42
99.613.8
66.9→80.7
Auto13.9
Teleop75.5
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed