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Qual 212018 Palmetto Regional
Red231
3490129.4
263141.5
577797.7
Blue374
343143.1
3140142.6
1923149.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2703140100200400500600231374

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
263
#22
141.59.5
110.2→119.7
Auto18.0
Teleop110.0
End14.6
blue by 7.8
1923
#18
149.28.1
108.0→116.1
Auto24.7
Teleop104.5
End20.9
Second
3490
#27
129.410.2
104.3→114.5
Auto20.2
Teleop94.3
End11.8
blue by 13.7
343
#5
143.19.5
105.0→114.5
Auto22.5
Teleop112.6
End9.6
Third
5777
#60
97.710.0
75.1→85.2
Auto14.9
Teleop80.8
End6.5
blue by 44.8
3140
#16
142.68.0
106.0→113.9
Auto17.3
Teleop114.9
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsEarned37%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed