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Qual 222018 Palmetto Regional
Red386
3824173.4
1876162.6
669396.9
Blue204
2152122.9
4481141.3
4020142.7
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2523290100200300400500600386204

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3824
#3
173.45.3
134.7→140.0
Auto24.8
Teleop131.0
End20.0
red by 30.6
4020
#10
142.78.1
114.9→123.0
Auto18.3
Teleop108.1
End18.5
Second
1876
#1
162.610.9
112.2→123.1
Auto18.7
Teleop119.1
End25.2
red by 21.2
4481
#24
141.39.7
114.0→123.7
Auto18.2
Teleop107.5
End14.9
Third
6693
#50
96.95.4
69.0→74.4
Auto13.2
Teleop75.4
End10.4
blue by 26.0
2152
#17
122.910.6
100.0→110.5
Auto19.1
Teleop96.2
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed