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Qual 232018 Palmetto Regional
Red211
4073122.6
5317141.1
3651102.8
Blue346
4243110.9
506399.7
1758136.5
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263275100150200300350400450211346

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5317
#26
141.17.6
98.0→105.6
Auto16.2
Teleop110.0
End18.2
red by 4.6
1758
#12
136.510.8
106.4→117.1
Auto18.6
Teleop105.6
End13.5
Second
4073
#48
122.69.9
101.9→111.8
Auto15.7
Teleop94.0
End15.2
red by 11.7
4243
#34
110.95.2
98.5→103.7
Auto12.3
Teleop90.0
End7.6
Third
3651
#40
102.86.0
84.0→90.0
Auto14.3
Teleop78.1
End11.6
red by 3.1
5063
#61
99.71.4
94.9→96.3
Auto12.6
Teleop76.6
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed33%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed