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Qual 242018 Palmetto Regional
Red199
3489144.5
281126.3
7085110.6
Blue325
342144.6
5472163.7
5130100.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions258290100200400500600199325

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3489
#33
144.56.8
111.0→117.7
Auto20.8
Teleop99.7
End27.8
blue by 19.2
5472
#7
163.711.2
110.2→121.4
Auto21.9
Teleop122.8
End17.3
Second
281
#19
126.33.4
108.9→112.3
Auto17.3
Teleop88.4
End24.0
blue by 18.4
342
#21
144.67.5
104.8→112.3
Auto18.2
Teleop112.2
End16.2
Third
7085
#37
110.610.1
90.5→100.6
Auto14.9
Teleop82.2
End13.8
red by 10.6
5130
#44
100.07.4
86.8→94.2
Auto13.5
Teleop81.2
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
45%Auto Quest oddsMissed16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed