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Qual 252018 Palmetto Regional
Red252
283128.7
4267122.7
125144.2
Blue353
3641170.5
1553130.2
3410112.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions256284150200350400450252353

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#4
144.22.4
123.1→125.5
Auto21.5
Teleop108.4
End18.0
blue by 26.3
3641
#8
170.58.0
129.8→137.7
Auto25.1
Teleop125.0
End21.9
Second
283
#30
128.73.6
111.1→114.8
Auto16.8
Teleop94.0
End24.5
blue by 1.4
1553
#11
130.28.1
97.0→105.1
Auto17.6
Teleop97.1
End15.8
Third
4267
#35
122.76.0
90.1→96.1
Auto15.9
Teleop92.9
End15.4
red by 10.3
3410
#43
112.45.6
89.6→95.1
Auto15.2
Teleop88.9
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsEarned36%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed