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Qual 262018 Palmetto Regional
Red266
4748110.4
343143.1
4083112.3
Blue156
1539119.4
622294.3
4074107.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2542450200400600800266156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
343
#5
143.13.8
122.3→126.2
Auto22.5
Teleop112.6
End9.6
red by 23.7
1539
#13
119.48.2
99.8→107.9
Auto15.1
Teleop89.2
End14.9
Second
4083
#47
112.37.3
85.4→92.7
Auto15.3
Teleop83.9
End16.8
red by 4.6
4074
#23
107.78.3
90.5→98.8
Auto14.6
Teleop86.4
End4.4
Third
4748
#53
110.43.9
90.3→94.2
Auto13.9
Teleop89.1
End9.8
red by 16.2
6222
#64
94.32.8
90.8→93.6
Auto14.9
Teleop70.7
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed