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Qual 302018 Palmetto Regional
Red318
4451167.4
4075123.0
397696.7
Blue123
2152122.9
5327109.5
5410119.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2553030100200400500600700318123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4451
#2
167.45.9
133.8→139.7
Auto25.1
Teleop118.2
End23.4
red by 44.5
2152
#17
122.93.1
115.8→118.9
Auto19.1
Teleop96.2
End6.0
Second
4075
#36
123.04.8
99.2→104.0
Auto15.9
Teleop90.1
End21.7
red by 3.4
5410
#49
119.66.1
114.8→120.9
Auto17.1
Teleop89.7
End16.4
Third
3976
#63
96.72.2
92.3→94.5
Auto15.7
Teleop77.4
End2.9
blue by 12.8
5327
#32
109.510.0
87.8→97.9
Auto13.6
Teleop92.4
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed40%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed