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Qual 312018 Palmetto Regional
Red279
4965128.7
7097109.6
5022114.1
Blue171
4265129.5
577797.7
2393125.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2503030100200400500600279171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4965
#20
128.73.3
112.5→115.8
Auto16.7
Teleop96.7
End15.4
blue by 0.8
4265
#45
129.56.9
123.8→130.7
Auto15.6
Teleop104.2
End7.2
Second
5022
#28
114.13.0
100.5→103.5
Auto14.9
Teleop86.6
End11.3
blue by 11.2
2393
#51
125.31.9
123.4→125.3
Auto17.0
Teleop94.9
End14.6
Third
7097
#31
109.68.2
88.4→96.7
Auto13.3
Teleop87.7
End8.0
red by 11.9
5777
#60
97.73.5
92.2→95.7
Auto14.9
Teleop80.8
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsEarned28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed