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Qual 322018 Palmetto Regional
Red406
2383153.2
1369123.3
2614168.7
Blue230
2815123.4
1051140.2
6167115.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3242210100400500600406230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2614
#9
168.79.4
124.2→133.6
Auto24.1
Teleop120.1
End23.9
red by 28.5
1051
#6
140.28.8
102.9→111.7
Auto15.5
Teleop100.3
End26.3
Second
2383
#14
153.22.2
127.0→129.2
Auto21.6
Teleop114.6
End17.5
red by 29.9
2815
#59
123.44.9
105.0→109.9
Auto14.5
Teleop92.6
End17.1
Third
1369
#55
123.31.8
105.5→107.4
Auto14.6
Teleop94.4
End15.8
red by 7.7
6167
#56
115.62.2
91.8→94.1
Auto16.5
Teleop84.6
End16.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
45%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed