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Red160
669396.9
139898.7
4965128.7
Blue285
506399.7
900120.0
125144.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2502750100200300400500160285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4965
#20
128.74.0
115.8119.8
Auto16.7
Teleop96.7
End15.4
blue by 15.4
125
#4
144.23.0
125.5128.5
Auto21.5
Teleop108.4
End18.0
Second
1398
#46
98.74.2
97.7101.9
Auto15.4
Teleop78.7
End6.0
blue by 21.3
900
#57
120.00.3
117.3117.0
Auto13.9
Teleop96.5
End11.9
Third
6693
#50
96.97.0
80.087.0
Auto13.2
Teleop75.4
End10.4
blue by 2.8
5063
#61
99.71.3
99.097.7
Auto12.6
Teleop76.6
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsEarned25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed