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Red296
5022114.1
3410112.4
263141.5
Blue145
7097109.6
4075123.0
484799.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26825404006008001,0001,2001,400296145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
263
#22
141.51.7
126.3128.1
Auto18.0
Teleop110.0
End14.6
red by 18.5
4075
#36
123.05.6
104.0109.5
Auto15.9
Teleop90.1
End21.7
Second
5022
#28
114.13.8
103.5107.3
Auto14.9
Teleop86.6
End11.3
red by 4.5
7097
#31
109.67.3
96.7104.0
Auto13.3
Teleop87.7
End8.0
Third
3410
#43
112.42.9
101.2104.0
Auto15.2
Teleop88.9
End10.8
red by 13.3
4847
#58
99.14.5
92.596.9
Auto11.7
Teleop81.1
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed15%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed