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Red327
4582130.6
7085110.6
2614168.7
Blue91
3651102.8
4083112.3
1369123.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions358208010030040050060070032791

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
168.79.5
133.6143.1
Auto24.1
Teleop120.1
End23.9
red by 45.4
1369
#55
123.34.3
107.4111.7
Auto14.6
Teleop94.4
End15.8
Second
4582
#15
130.69.5
100.8110.3
Auto17.2
Teleop103.1
End8.9
red by 18.3
4083
#47
112.36.0
97.9103.9
Auto15.3
Teleop83.9
End16.8
Third
7085
#37
110.62.7
107.6110.3
Auto14.9
Teleop82.2
End13.8
red by 7.9
3651
#40
102.81.9
94.696.5
Auto14.3
Teleop78.1
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsEarned17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed