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Qual 392018 Palmetto Regional
Red409
6167115.6
3489144.5
1923149.2
Blue106
2815123.4
397696.7
662699.6
75%Model gave it25%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3352320100200300400500600409106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1923
#18
149.27.9
123.1→131.0
Auto24.7
Teleop104.5
End20.9
red by 25.9
2815
#59
123.44.5
109.9→114.4
Auto14.5
Teleop92.6
End17.1
Second
3489
#33DQ
144.56.4
122.5→128.9
Auto20.8
Teleop99.7
End27.8
red by 44.9
6626
#42
99.64.3
95.7→100.0
Auto13.9
Teleop75.5
End7.8
Third
6167
#56
115.62.6
94.1→96.7
Auto16.5
Teleop84.6
End16.8
red by 18.9
3976
#63
96.73.8
94.5→98.3
Auto15.7
Teleop77.4
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsEarned14%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed