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Qual 402018 Palmetto Regional
Red277
6366127.6
2187103.0
3641170.5
Blue397
1051140.2
4451167.4
1876162.6
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2513630100200300400500600277397

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3641
#8
170.57.8
137.7→145.5
Auto25.1
Teleop125.0
End21.9
red by 3.0
4451
#2
167.46.4
139.7→146.1
Auto25.1
Teleop118.2
End23.4
Second
6366
#25
127.61.1
123.6→124.7
Auto18.3
Teleop95.4
End17.4
blue by 35.0
1876
#1
162.65.5
132.7→138.3
Auto18.7
Teleop119.1
End25.2
Third
2187
#54
103.02.9
93.1→96.0
Auto14.6
Teleop82.2
End7.0
blue by 37.2
1051
#6
140.27.0
111.7→118.7
Auto15.5
Teleop100.3
End26.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsEarned36%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsEarned