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Red315
1051140.2
3490129.4
1539119.4
Blue265
5317141.1
281126.3
669396.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3362300100200300400500600315265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
140.26.5
118.7125.2
Auto15.5
Teleop100.3
End26.3
blue by 0.9
5317
#26
141.14.3
113.6117.9
Auto16.2
Teleop110.0
End18.2
Second
3490
#27
129.40.6
129.3128.7
Auto20.2
Teleop94.3
End11.8
red by 3.1
281
#19
126.31.5
114.8116.4
Auto17.3
Teleop88.4
End24.0
Third
1539
#13
119.40.7
112.2112.9
Auto15.1
Teleop89.2
End14.9
red by 22.5
6693
#50
96.93.0
87.090.0
Auto13.2
Teleop75.4
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsEarned47%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed