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Qual 502018 Palmetto Regional
Red302
4265129.5
283128.7
3140142.6
Blue177
7085110.6
6366127.6
1319118.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3042680100200400500600302177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3140
#16
142.63.2
132.2→135.4
Auto17.3
Teleop114.9
End6.9
red by 15.0
6366
#25
127.61.8
124.7→126.5
Auto18.3
Teleop95.4
End17.4
Second
4265
#45
129.52.3
132.4→130.1
Auto15.6
Teleop104.2
End7.2
red by 10.7
1319
#29
118.72.3
125.8→123.5
Auto14.5
Teleop98.7
End4.6
Third
283
#30
128.72.1
118.9→121.0
Auto16.8
Teleop94.0
End24.5
red by 18.1
7085
#37
110.62.0
110.3→112.4
Auto14.9
Teleop82.2
End13.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsMissed36%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed