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Red198
4020142.7
4265129.5
622294.3
Blue226
4074107.7
1051140.2
484799.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3212300100400500600700198226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4020
#10
142.713.9
93.5107.4
Auto18.3
Teleop108.1
End18.5
red by 2.5
140.216.8
67.083.8
Auto15.5
Teleop100.3
End26.3
Second
4265
#45
129.513.7
95.3109.0
Auto15.6
Teleop104.2
End7.2
red by 21.8
4074
#23
107.717.3
63.180.4
Auto14.6
Teleop86.4
End4.4
Third
6222
#64
94.317.2
63.981.1
Auto14.9
Teleop70.7
End4.7
blue by 4.8
4847
#58
99.118.2
54.873.1
Auto11.7
Teleop81.1
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed