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Qual 62018 Palmetto Regional
Red265
343143.1
2187103.0
139898.7
Blue114
5022114.1
669396.9
1369123.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions264269100150200300350400265114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
343
#5
143.114.2
90.8→105.0
Auto22.5
Teleop112.6
End9.6
red by 19.8
1369
#55
123.315.6
77.9→93.6
Auto14.6
Teleop94.4
End15.8
Second
2187
#54
103.017.8
58.9→76.7
Auto14.6
Teleop82.2
End7.0
blue by 11.2
5022
#28
114.116.1
73.4→89.5
Auto14.9
Teleop86.6
End11.3
Third
1398
#46
98.718.0
56.7→74.7
Auto15.4
Teleop78.7
End6.0
red by 1.8
6693
#50
96.920.2
38.2→58.4
Auto13.2
Teleop75.4
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed