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Qual 72018 Palmetto Regional
Red46
506399.7
6167115.6
3410112.4
Blue497
5472163.7
1876162.6
4013119.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions244319010020040050060070046497

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6167
#56
115.616.8
67.2→84.0
Auto16.5
Teleop84.6
End16.8
blue by 48.1
5472
#7
163.715.1
83.1→98.1
Auto21.9
Teleop122.8
End17.3
Second
3410
#43
112.417.1
64.4→81.6
Auto15.2
Teleop88.9
End10.8
blue by 50.2
1876
#1
162.613.4
98.8→112.2
Auto18.7
Teleop119.1
End25.2
Third
5063
#61
99.716.4
71.0→87.4
Auto12.6
Teleop76.6
End8.3
blue by 20.3
4013
#41
119.915.8
76.6→92.4
Auto18.7
Teleop90.6
End13.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed