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Red196
4267122.7
139898.7
577797.7
Blue440
1876162.6
2614168.7
4748110.4
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1813830100300500600196440

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4267
#35
122.75.0
115.3120.3
Auto15.9
Teleop92.9
End15.4
blue by 46.0
168.74.9
149.8154.6
Auto24.1
Teleop120.1
End23.9
Second
1398
#46
98.71.4
102.9101.5
Auto15.4
Teleop78.7
End6.0
blue by 63.9
162.62.9
143.8146.7
Auto18.7
Teleop119.1
End25.2
Third
5777
#60
97.71.9
95.297.1
Auto14.9
Teleop80.8
End6.5
blue by 12.7
4748
#53
110.42.9
100.5103.4
Auto13.9
Teleop89.1
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed