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Red308
283128.7
263141.5
4243110.9
Blue40
669396.9
5130100.0
397696.7
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions339189010030040050060030840

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
263
#22
141.54.2
130.7135.0
Auto18.0
Teleop110.0
End14.6
red by 41.4
5130
#44
100.00.2
102.0102.2
Auto13.5
Teleop81.2
End6.8
Second
283
#30
128.72.0
121.0123.0
Auto16.8
Teleop94.0
End24.5
red by 31.8
6693
#50
96.93.5
90.093.4
Auto13.2
Teleop75.4
End10.4
Third
4243
#34
110.91.3
108.8110.1
Auto12.3
Teleop90.0
End7.6
red by 14.2
3976
#63
96.70.5
98.599.0
Auto15.7
Teleop77.4
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed9%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed