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Qual 642018 Palmetto Regional
Red211
1319118.7
4965128.7
2152122.9
Blue212
343143.1
5317141.1
2383153.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273305100150200250350400450500211212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4965
#20
128.75.4
107.1→112.5
Auto16.7
Teleop96.7
End15.4
blue by 24.5
2383
#14
153.25.4
121.5→127.0
Auto21.6
Teleop114.6
End17.5
Second
2152
#17
122.95.2
110.5→115.8
Auto19.1
Teleop96.2
End6.0
blue by 20.2
343
#5
143.17.9
114.5→122.3
Auto22.5
Teleop112.6
End9.6
Third
1319
#29
118.76.0
114.6→120.5
Auto14.5
Teleop98.7
End4.6
blue by 22.3
5317
#26
141.15.6
105.6→111.2
Auto16.2
Teleop110.0
End18.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsEarned25%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed