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Qual 652018 Palmetto Regional
Red322
6366127.6
484799.1
4265129.5
Blue281
669396.9
3489144.5
4267122.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2972290100400500600700322281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4265
#45
129.57.5
116.4→123.8
Auto15.6
Teleop104.2
End7.2
blue by 15.0
3489
#33
144.54.8
117.7→122.5
Auto20.8
Teleop99.7
End27.8
Second
6366
#25
127.66.9
110.2→117.1
Auto18.3
Teleop95.4
End17.4
red by 4.9
4267
#35
122.75.7
96.1→101.9
Auto15.9
Teleop92.9
End15.4
Third
4847
#58
99.14.2
83.8→87.9
Auto11.7
Teleop81.1
End7.1
red by 2.2
6693
#50
96.95.7
74.4→80.0
Auto13.2
Teleop75.4
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsMissed21%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsEarned