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Red230
4020142.7
2614168.7
4243110.9
Blue388
1287134.1
5472163.7
1319118.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3272690100200400500600230388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
168.75.3
159.8165.1
Auto24.1
Teleop120.1
End23.9
red by 5.0
163.74.2
150.5154.7
Auto21.9
Teleop122.8
End17.3
Second
4020
#10
142.72.2
138.3140.5
Auto18.3
Teleop108.1
End18.5
red by 8.6
1287
#38
134.11.6
126.3127.9
Auto14.6
Teleop102.2
End22.2
Third
4243
#34
110.90.9
110.3111.2
Auto12.3
Teleop90.0
End7.6
blue by 7.8
1319
#29
118.72.5
120.1117.7
Auto14.5
Teleop98.7
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
51%Auto Quest oddsEarned22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed