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Red128
484799.1
342144.6
1758136.5
Blue414
1876162.6
343143.1
283128.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions255336100200300400500128414

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
342
#21
144.63.9
136.6140.5
Auto18.2
Teleop112.2
End16.2
blue by 18.0
162.64.1
150.6154.6
Auto18.7
Teleop119.1
End25.2
Second
1758
#12
136.50.1
137.2137.3
Auto18.6
Teleop105.6
End13.5
blue by 6.6
343
#5
143.12.3
130.5132.8
Auto22.5
Teleop112.6
End9.6
Third
4847
#58
99.10.2
100.0100.2
Auto11.7
Teleop81.1
End7.1
blue by 29.6
283
#30
128.72.1
123.6125.7
Auto16.8
Teleop94.0
End24.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed37%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed