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Red326
139898.7
4013119.9
1051140.2
Blue251
3651102.8
3489144.5
4075123.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions276308150200250350400450326251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
140.24.2
130.3134.4
Auto15.5
Teleop100.3
End26.3
blue by 4.3
3489
#33
144.50.6
143.1143.7
Auto20.8
Teleop99.7
End27.8
Second
4013
#41
119.91.8
121.4119.6
Auto18.7
Teleop90.6
End13.9
blue by 3.1
4075
#36
123.04.2
115.8120.1
Auto15.9
Teleop90.1
End21.7
Third
1398
#46
98.71.5
99.798.2
Auto15.4
Teleop78.7
End6.0
blue by 4.1
3651
#40
102.82.0
99.4101.3
Auto14.3
Teleop78.1
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
66%Auto Quest oddsMissed40%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed