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Qual 862018 Palmetto Regional
Red115
4267122.7
6167115.6
5327109.5
Blue327
4481141.3
5022114.1
5317141.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions258337100200300400500115327

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4267
#35DQ
122.72.2
120.3→122.6
Auto15.9
Teleop92.9
End15.4
blue by 18.7
4481
#24
141.31.7
137.4→139.1
Auto18.2
Teleop107.5
End14.9
Second
6167
#56DQ
115.61.9
113.7→115.6
Auto16.5
Teleop84.6
End16.8
blue by 25.5
5317
#26
141.14.8
127.3→132.1
Auto16.2
Teleop110.0
End18.2
Third
5327
#32
109.51.5
108.1→109.5
Auto13.6
Teleop92.4
End3.8
blue by 4.6
5022
#28
114.10.6
113.5→114.1
Auto14.9
Teleop86.6
End11.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsMissed53%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed