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Red403
263141.5
6366127.6
3824173.4
Blue194
5472163.7
4582130.6
506399.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions340292100200400500600403194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
173.44.7
162.9167.6
Auto24.8
Teleop131.0
End20.0
red by 9.7
163.75.4
154.7160.1
Auto21.9
Teleop122.8
End17.3
Second
263
#22
141.50.6
139.8140.4
Auto18.0
Teleop110.0
End14.6
red by 10.8
4582
#15
130.63.6
126.7130.3
Auto17.2
Teleop103.1
End8.9
Third
6366
#25
127.61.2
125.0126.2
Auto18.3
Teleop95.4
End17.4
red by 27.9
5063
#61
99.71.4
98.299.7
Auto12.6
Teleop76.6
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
62%Auto Quest oddsEarned24%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed