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Red393
281126.3
4748110.4
4481141.3
Blue328
397696.7
4013119.9
2187103.0
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3522170100300400500600393328

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4481
#24
141.31.4
139.1140.5
Auto18.2
Teleop107.5
End14.9
red by 21.4
4013
#41
119.90.4
119.6119.9
Auto18.7
Teleop90.6
End13.9
Second
281
#19
126.34.3
122.0126.3
Auto17.3
Teleop88.4
End24.0
red by 23.3
2187
#54
103.01.2
101.8103.0
Auto14.6
Teleop82.2
End7.0
Third
4748
#53
110.42.2
108.2110.4
Auto13.9
Teleop89.1
End9.8
red by 13.7
3976
#63
96.71.6
98.396.7
Auto15.7
Teleop77.4
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed