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Qual 932018 Palmetto Regional
Red397
3641170.5
3651102.8
1319118.7
Blue130
2815123.4
622294.3
3490129.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions360243100200300400500600397130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3641
#8
170.52.6
164.3→166.9
Auto25.1
Teleop125.0
End21.9
red by 41.1
3490
#27
129.40.0
129.3→129.4
Auto20.2
Teleop94.3
End11.8
Second
1319
#29
118.71.1
117.7→118.7
Auto14.5
Teleop98.7
End4.6
blue by 4.6
2815
#59
123.44.5
118.9→123.4
Auto14.5
Teleop92.6
End17.1
Third
3651
#40
102.81.4
101.3→102.8
Auto14.3
Teleop78.1
End11.6
red by 8.5
6222
#64
94.31.5
95.8→94.3
Auto14.9
Teleop70.7
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
66%Auto Quest oddsEarned42%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed